Overton Catcher

Week of 26 September – 2 October 2026

4,437 stories across seven markets, 107,530 articles.

On this page

Between 26 September and 2 October 2026 this project collected 107,530 articles and grouped them into 4,437 stories across seven markets. A story is a cluster of articles close enough in meaning to be the same event3; independence is counted in owners, not outlets4. Superscripts link into the method page, where each measurement is defined once.

Volume

Counts are after duplicate feed entries are merged2, and they are not flat across the week: a weekend day runs about half a weekday1. The owner column counts the owners that carried at least one story, which is the number the rest of the report is measured against — a story reaching six of them is a different thing in a market of thirty-three and in a market of six.

This report is written in English, but three of the markets are not — headlines from de-national, ru-domestic and ar-pan appear below as they ran, untranslated.

MarketArticlesStoriesOwnersIn a storyBaseline share
us-national11,0614462931%22%
uk-national6,6322531727%25%
uk-regional7,408305623%33%
intl-state4,2112271133%22%
de-national17,9578151933%23%
ru-domestic48,7061,8942128%15%
ar-pan11,5554971726%16%

Of the 158 feeds polled in these markets, 1 produced nothing at all this week32.

Story counts leave out standing sections — the weather for forty cities, exchange rates, lottery draws — which cluster perfectly well and are not events36. Four more markets are collected and measured the same way without appearing in this report; each market, reported or not, has a page of its own that this run rewrites.

Stories per market for every full week collected so far. The series is recomputed from the archive each time a report is built rather than copied from earlier ones, so a number here can differ from the number that was printed then30.

Market22 Aug29 Aug5 Sep12 Sep19 Sep26 Sep
us-national505495396452413446
uk-national251277266266301253
uk-regional311349324311324305
intl-state225240198245214227
de-national—711655713777815
ru-domestic——1,7641,8791,9241,894
ar-pan—471467516485497

What the week was about

Stories ranked by the number of owners carrying them
The ranking is by owners, not by article count: what matters is how widely a story travelled, not how much was written.

The three widest stories in each market, with the words that separate each from the rest of its week6:

us-national. Hochul and James vow to investigate Cornell sexual assault case — 19 owners, 72 articles, published over 23 hours (Cornell, Hochul, rape, James). Trump launches AI-powered America.gov website ahead of meeting with big tech leaders — 19 owners, 66 articles, published over 14 hours (website, leaders, Trump, Gov). Netanyahu says a pilot on a FlyDubai flight stabbed another and apparently tried to crash the plane — 18 owners, 72 articles, published over 17 hours (flight, pilot, Israel, plane).

uk-national. Burnham sets out plan to reform triple lock to pay for social care — 16 owners, 104 articles, published over 22 hours (triple, lock, Burnham, speech). Does Britain want to rejoin the EU? Here’s what the polls say — 11 owners, 32 articles, published over 18 hours (Brexit, rejoin, Burnham, Andy). Andy Burnham vows to fight next election with NHS-style social care plan — 11 owners, 19 articles, published over 13 hours (care, social, Burnham, election).

uk-regional. Burnham sets out plan to reform triple lock to pay for social care — 4 owners, 70 articles, published over 15 hours (Burnham, Andy, triple, lock). Mossley crash LIVE as police tape off street after car ploughs into house — 4 owners, 41 articles, published over 17 hours (assaulted, police, car, flu). Tragic police update after body of newborn baby girl found on North Wales shoreline — 4 owners, 33 articles, published over 19 hours (baby, Bangor, shoreline, girl).

intl-state. Russian strikes in Kyiv region kill three people and injure eight over past 24 hours — 8 owners, 51 articles, published over 18 hours (Kyiv, Russian, building, injured). What happened on diverted Flydubai flight from Dubai to Tel Aviv? — 8 owners, 45 articles, published over 23 hours (Flydubai, flight, Tel, Aviv). US dismisses Iran's Hormuz proposal as 'cynical' as Trump expects more talks — 8 owners, 22 articles, published over 23 hours (Iran, Hormuz, proposal, Trump).

de-national. Pflegeversicherung: Koalition bringt Pflegereform ins Kabinett — 15 owners, 77 articles, published over 17 hours (Pflegereform, Kabinett, Kinderlose, Linnemann). Merz warnt vor russischem Angriff auf Deutschland und Nato — 15 owners, 28 articles, published over 20 hours (NATO, Westfälischen, Friedenspreis, Merz). Nach massiver Kritik: Warum sich Spahn wieder zurückzieht — 14 owners, 198 articles, published over 23 hours (Spahn, Haushaltsausschuss, Klopp, Jens).

ru-domestic. Самолет Flydubai, подавший сигнал о ЧП, совершил посадку в Саудовской Аравии. На борту подрались пилоты — 20 owners, 199 articles, published over 17 hours (Flydubai, Тель, Авив, борту). Силы ПВО сбили за сутки 768 беспилотников ВСУ — 19 owners, 87 articles, published over 18 hours (поразили, Минобороны, ПВО, ВСУ). В результате падения самолёта в Амурской области погибли шесть членов экипажа — 19 owners, 48 articles, published over 9 hours (Амурской, тренировочного, шесть, учебно).

ar-pan. ماذا لو دخلت طائرة «فلاي دبي» مخطوفة إلى إسرائيل؟ — 14 owners, 111 articles, published over 24 hours (دبي, فلاي, طائرة, أبيب). ترمب يرفض خطة الـ7 أيام الإيرانية — 14 owners, 44 articles, published over 23 hours (هرمز, مضيق, رفض, ترامب). عاجل.. وسائل إعلام إسرائيلية: نتنياهو يجري اتصالا برئيس الإمارات عقب حادثة طائرة “فلاي دبي” — 13 owners, 164 articles, published over 19 hours (دبي, فلاي, طائرة, التحالف).

Reaching several newsrooms and being written about a lot are not the same thing31. The most lopsided story in each market — it travelled, and most of what was written about it still came from one owner:

StoryMarketOwnersArticlesFrom one owner
Tragic police update after body of newborn baby girl found on North Walesuk-regional43385%
Europe should not be dictating terms for renewing dialogue with Russia, saysintl-state54680%
ВС России уничтожили пункты запуска БПЛА ВСУ в Сумской областиru-domestic41479%
من سيرتدي القميص الرقم "7" بعد مغادرة كريستيانو رونالدو؟ar-pan41173%
'I saw Christa Pike's attempted execution - one moment showed things wereuk-national41872%
Reisebus auf A96 in Bayern umgekippt – zwei Tote und mehrere Verletztede-national61872%
MTV VMAs 2026 red carpet live updates: See all the celebrity outfitsus-national4757%

The same day in seven markets

Stories are clustered inside a market and never across them7. The boundary is worth reading on its own, because most of what a market carries never crosses it.

MarketStoriesAlso carried in another market
us-national44637%
uk-national25359%
uk-regional30540%
intl-state22781%
de-national81530%
ru-domestic1,89415%
ar-pan49738%

The match behind that last column is deliberately loose8: the claim being made is “nobody else ran this”, so it should fail towards saying a story travelled. At the strict threshold the same shares are 26%, 46%, 30%, 57%, 19%, 6% and 17%, in the order above.

187 events ran in more than one market this week, and 134 of them crossed a language boundary33. The table below shows only those that reached three markets or more; most crossings are between two, so a story picked up in English and in German on the same day is counted here and not shown there.

Where an event did cross, the wording is the interesting part. The same day, the same event, as each market ran it:

Thursday 1 October

MarketHeadline as it ran thereOwnersArticles
intl-stateEurope should not be dictating terms for renewing dialogue with Russia, says Putin546
ru-domesticПутин: РФ сознательно вынудили защищать себя с оружием в руках5622
ar-panبوتين: نعمل على تشكيل نظام عالمي جديد28

Wednesday 30 September

MarketHeadline as it ran thereOwnersArticles
us-nationalNetanyahu says a pilot on a FlyDubai flight stabbed another and apparently tried to crash the1872
uk-nationalFlyDubai suspends flights to and from Israel after pilot stabbing725
uk-regionalPilot on FlyDubai flight to Israel ‘stabbed another and tried to crash plane’210
intl-stateWhat happened on diverted Flydubai flight from Dubai to Tel Aviv?845
de-nationalFlydubai-Flug: Prügelei im Cockpit: Israelischer Minister spricht von Terrorverdacht1249
ru-domesticСамолет Flydubai, подавший сигнал о ЧП, совершил посадку в Саудовской Аравии. На борту подрались20199

Tuesday 29 September

MarketHeadline as it ran thereOwnersArticles
us-nationalUK’s Burnham Sets Out Change Agenda29
uk-nationalBurnham sets out plan to reform triple lock to pay for social care16104
uk-regionalBurnham sets out plan to reform triple lock to pay for social care470
intl-stateBrexit has done more harm than good: British PM Burnham44
de-nationalLabour tagt in Liverpool: Labour-Parteitag: Andy Burnhams großer Auftritt1024

The other side of the same measurement is what a market carried and nobody else did9:

MarketCarried aloneThe widest story only it ran
us-national63%Watch live: Trump to announce $15B Iowa steel project
uk-national41%Body of newborn baby found on shoreline in Wales as police search for
uk-regional60%Welsh First Minister quotes actor Matthew Rhys at pro-independence
intl-state19%Far-right Israeli minister calls for war in occupied West Bank similar
de-national70%Ehemalige RBB-Intendantin: Gericht lässt Anklage gegen Patricia
ru-domestic85%В США сообщили о транспортировке через Ормуз рекордного объема нефти
ar-pan62%العراق يعلن الموافقة على تسيير 40 رحلة جوية إيرانية يوميا من وإلى

intl-state is the row worth reading in full: the state-funded broadcasters are kept as their own market precisely because they are a labelled example of coordinated promotion, so the stories only they carried are the ones to look at.

Carried only by state broadcastersDayOwnersArticles
Far-right Israeli minister calls for war in occupied West Bank similar to Israel’s war on Gaza
Smotrich, Bank, Bezalel, West
Sun35
China's top diplomat urges Japan to correct erroneous words, deeds of its leaders on Taiwan
correct, Japan, erroneous, deeds
Tue35
EU Commission unveils new measures to tackle mass arrivals at external borders
external, borders, point, smuggling
Tue33
Qatari PM calls Netanyahu 'war criminal,' vows to continue mediation
mediation, Doha, continue, Qatari
Wed33
Israeli opposition leaders unite behind pact to unseat Netanyahu in October election
pledge, opposition, leaders, unseat
Sat23
Hamas marks Al-Aqsa Intifada anniversary, calls for Arab, Muslim support for Palestinians
Aqsa, Intifada, anniversary, Ariel
Mon23

How far stories travel

Distribution of owners per story
Most stories stop at three or four owners. The tail to the right is what a week actually shares.

Owner counts here are corrected for wire copy: two owners running one agency text under two mastheads count once between them5.

How long a story lasts

Owners carrying each long-running story, day by day
One panel per story that ran more than a single day. The line is how many owners carried it that day, so the shape says whether it spread, held, or faded.

A week-long story is a chain of daily clusters rather than one object10. Ordering is by how much of this week a story occupied, and it has to hold at least 3 days of it to appear11. The column worth reading is the last one: a story that opens wide was already everyone’s on day one, and one that opens narrow had to travel first12.

Each owner’s first, middle and last article in one story
The week’s largest story, one row per owner, ordered by when that owner first published. The dot sits on that owner’s first article and its area is how many they ran; the line runs on to their last. The bars along the top are how many articles ran in each 6-hour window.

Counting owners per day says how wide a story got; the rows above say how it filled up13. It is one story, though, not a claim about how these owners behave14.

StoryWhere it endedMarketRanArticlesOwners, day 1 → total
ВС РФ поразили центр обработки данных "Космонова" в Киеве
поразили, Минобороны, ВСУ, ПВО
Силы ПВО за ночь сбили 646 дронов ВСУ над регионами Россииru-domestic26 Sep – 2 Oct50412 → 21
В Одессе произошли взрывы
Киеве, взрыв, прогремел, тревога
В Минобороны сделали заявление после массированной атаки ВСУ на Россиюru-domestic31 Aug – 2 Oct16942 → 18
Orange Order parade down Drumcree’s Garvaghy Road blocked by High Court
Orange, parade, Drumcree, Order
Drumcree talks break up without agreement on fifth day of standoffuk-national26 Sep – 2 Oct554 → 11
Klopp setzt vor Heimspiel gegen Griechenland wohl auf neuen Torhüter
Klopp, Jürgen, Serbien, Bundestrainer
Deutschlands Sieg gegen Serbien: Erstmals zeigt sich, wie mitreißend Kloppsde-national26 Sep – 2 Oct1762 → 14
Prosecutor reopens probe into Cornell gang rape allegations after accuser
Cornell, rape, gang, University
Hochul and James vow to investigate Cornell sexual assault caseus-national28 Sep – 2 Oct21216 → 25
Tennessee is set to execute a woman for the first time in 200 years
Pike, Christa, execution, Tennessee
Questions emerge after Christa Pike's botched executionus-national28 Sep – 2 Oct1253 → 21
Pflegereform der Bundesregierung: SPD gegen Kürzungen in der Pflege
Pflegereform, SPD, Linnemann, Kabinett
Pflegereform: Löhne für Pflegekräfte steigen – und damit auch der Eigenanteilde-national26 Sep – 1 Oct16710 → 16
Schlechte Ausstattung - Gewaltsame Proteste an 180 französischen Schulen
Frankreich, Schüler, Festnahmen, Schulen
Bildung: Knapp 2000 Festnahmen bei Schulprotesten in Frankreichde-national28 Sep – 2 Oct773 → 15

Who moves together

Owner pairs ranked by excess co-occurrence
Measured against a null model that keeps both the size of each story and the output of each owner, so neither big news nor a prolific outlet can produce a score on its own. Computed over the whole archive, not just this week: the signal is longitudinal and a single week is too noisy to read.

A high score means two owners run the same stories more often than their volumes explain, which is not the same as coordination15. What it cannot say is whether either is following the other; for that the next section uses the clock. Only pairs above a score of three appear, which is where pairs thrown up by chance alone stop appearing29.

One market can be checked against something already known34. The outlets in intl-state answer to different governments, and three pairs of them answer to the same one — Anadolu Ajansi with TRT, China Media with People's Daily and Rossiya Segodnya with TASS. The measure puts those pairs 1st, 2nd and 3rd of 47 in that market.

How stories move between newsrooms

Owner pairs that publish closer together than the story explains
Inside every story each pair of owners is ranked by how close together the two published, measured against all the other pairs in that same story. Scoring against the story itself is what keeps big news out of the result: an event everybody reaches within the hour makes every pair look fast, and only a pair that is fast relative to its own story survives.

Direction is what separates the mechanisms, and it is the part a co-occurrence count cannot see16.

PairMarketRelationshipTypical gapStories
TASS → Rossiya Segodnyaru-domesticone way23 min693
Sber ↔ Vedomostiru-domesticboth ways60 min540
DvH Medien → Axel Springerde-nationalone way116 min1034
TASS → MK Mediaru-domesticone way46 min1479
Anadolu Ajansi → TRTintl-stateone way92 min548
URA.RU ↔ NEWS.ruru-domesticboth ways28 min1221
DvH Medien ↔ Bertelsmannde-nationalboth ways117 min871
Ippen ↔ taz Genossenschaftde-nationalboth ways150 min208
WETA ↔ Center for Investigative Reportingus-nationalboth ways152 min39
ZDF ↔ Deutsche Wellede-nationalboth ways172 min109

Measured over the whole archive rather than this week, and only after two controls: each owner’s own speed is subtracted, and the pair’s tightest quarter of stories is dropped17. Timing is the noisier of the two measurements in this report, so the bar here is the same three and worth taking literally29, and a pair also has to hold up in each half of the archive counted on its own35.

The same measurement can be asked of a single owner: is it upstream of the newsrooms it shares stories with, or downstream of them18?

MarketUpstream of its partnersDownstream of them
us-nationalWarner Bros z 16.3Graham z −9.3
uk-nationalComcast z 13.7Peoples Press z −7.3
uk-regional—Media Concierge z −2.5
intl-stateAnadolu Ajansi z 10.4USAGM z −4.0
de-nationalDvH Medien z 37.8Deutsche Welle z −19.5
ru-domesticTASS z 62.3Forbes Russia z −18.9
ar-panAl Jazeera z 18.0TRT z −11.8

The two ends read differently, and neither is an accusation19.

What the headline said first

Every version of an article’s text is kept, so a headline that changes after publication is visible. This section counts the four English-language markets only, not all seven28. This week 1,791 headlines were rewritten there, 842 of them substantially — less than half the words survived — and the median rewrite landed 3.8 hours after the article first appeared. Not all of that is a newsroom changing its mind20: requiring the two versions to be recognisably the same sentence, changed within a day, leaves 582 — and those are the ones below.

This is the one place in the corpus where an editorial decision is observed twice — the same newsroom, the same story, two framings hours apart21.

  • Newsweek — “OpenAI Warns US Government Agencies of Rogue Activity” → “What OpenAI Going Rogue in US Really Means”
  • Nikkei — “Appeals court overturns ban on contentious Northern Ireland parade” → “Northern Ireland in tense stand-off as protests block Orange Order parade”
  • Independent — “Major incident declared near RAF Fairford as bomb squad called out and multiple men arrested” → “RAF Fairford: Terror police ‘investigate Iran link’ to suspected bomb plot near airbase”
  • Lebedev — “Calls grow to rethink state pension triple lock as Labour searches for £18 billion for social care programme” → “Will Burnham scrap the pension triple lock? PM to call for 'honest conversation' at Labour Conference speech”
  • Fox Corp — “Lindsay Clancy's push to investigate holdout juror could be paused as defense, prosecutors agree to adjourn” → “Lindsay Clancy's 'Shooter McGavin' unloads on 'hoodie-wearing lawyer' amid war of words over holdout juror”
  • Al Jazeera — “Trump, top tech firms sign accord to ‘self-police’ AI development” → “Trump, tech bosses sign voluntary pact pledging ‘robust’ AI safeguards”

The examples are drawn from stories that at least 4 owners carried, not from the largest rewrites22.

Rewriting is not evenly spread. Emerson Collective changed the headline on 44% of what it published this week; across the owners with enough output to measure the rate runs from that down to a percent or two23.

What the rewrites do not show is a softening of language. Quotation marks appear in 163 rewritten headlines and disappear from 114; words that hold a claim at arm’s length — so-called, alleged, reportedly — move in 26 and out of 20. At that size neither is a finding. Distancing is thin enough in headlines that it has to be measured across the whole corpus rather than inside its edits, which is the next section.

Words that have to be quoted

This project is named after the Overton window, and everything above measures something else: the shape of distribution. The window is answered by how a word is marked, not by how far it travels24.

How often each term appears inside quotation marks
Counted over headlines and summaries in the four English-language markets this week. A quoted term is one the outlet did not say in its own voice: either it flagged the word itself, or the word arrived inside someone else’s sentence.
TermMentionsIn quotation marksShare
genocide633454%
woke611931%
terrorist1734727%
illegal1771911%
far-right10998%
election643284%
migrant14343%
police1,627352%
inflation16321%

Counted over the four English-language markets only28. The separation is an order of magnitude and it is not subtle. Nothing about the count knows which words are contested — the list is fixed in advance, and it has to be25. Read the shares as a level, not as a movement26: the window is the change in them over months.

Method

Every measurement above is defined once, on the method page — the superscripts throughout this report link straight into it. Reports are generated without human editing and without a language model27.